GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 8/14/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Curico Unido · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Curico Unido are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportes Santa Cruz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Curico Unido hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 37.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Primera B, while Curico Unido holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Curico Unido

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

14.2%

Curico Unido has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Curico UnidoDWDLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportes Santa CruzDLLLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Curico UnidoDeportes Santa Cruz
33.3Attack40.7
49.0Defence38.9
37.3Form24.1
42.7Power37.3
1.33xG1.11
View match centre →