GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 8/15/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Modbury Jets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Cumberland United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Modbury Jets are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Modbury Jets hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the South Australia State League 1, while Modbury Jets holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Modbury Jets

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

12.2%

Modbury Jets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cumberland UnitedLWWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Modbury JetsWWWWL

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Cumberland UnitedModbury Jets
57.1Attack71.4
57.1Defence68.3
54.0Form65.1
56.3Power66.9
1.16xG1.77
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