GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 8/8/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Cumberland United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Adelaide Olympic are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and adelaide Olympic hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 65.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the South Australia State League 1, favouring a draw with 12.2% confidence, a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

26.4%

Model confidence

12.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cumberland UnitedWWLWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide OlympicWWWWL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Cumberland UnitedAdelaide Olympic
57.1Attack66.7
57.1Defence61.9
54.0Form68.3
56.3Power65.6
1.39xG1.65
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