Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cumbayá are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cuniburo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cuniburo hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00