GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 5/17/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cultural Santa Rosa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Cultural Santa Rosa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while UCV Moquegua are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cultural Santa Rosa hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.2% in the Primera División, while Cultural Santa Rosa holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cultural Santa Rosa

Probability

55.8%

Model confidence

16.2%

Cultural Santa Rosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cultural Santa RosaDLLWW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
UCV MoqueguaDLWLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Cultural Santa RosaUCV Moquegua
49.2Attack30.2
57.1Defence55.6
65.1Form33.3
59.6Power41.8
1.49xG0.67
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