GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/5/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cultural Leonesa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cultural Leonesa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Real Avilés are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cultural Leonesa hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cultural Leonesa holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cultural Leonesa

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Cultural Leonesa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cultural LeonesaLDLWL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real AvilésDLDDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Cultural LeonesaReal Avilés
50.0Attack28.6
75.0Defence71.4
41.7Form33.3
52.7Power46.5
1.27xG0.88
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