Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junior · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cucuta are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Junior are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Junior hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (35.0 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Primera A, while Junior holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Junior
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
11.8%
Junior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80