CSKA Sofiavs
Qarabag
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
CSKA Sofia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Qarabag are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Qarabag hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while CSKA Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CSKA Sofia
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
CSKA Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40