GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 8/2/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSKA Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

CSKA Sofia are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dunav Ruse are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA Sofia hold a 49.2-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the First League, while CSKA Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CSKA Sofia

Probability

63.7%

Model confidence

13.3%

CSKA Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CSKA SofiaDWDDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dunav RuseLLDDD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CSKA SofiaDunav Ruse
55.6Attack16.7
66.7Defence33.3
77.8Form0.0
70.7Power21.5
1.89xG0.72
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