GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSKA Sofia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CSKA Sofia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Derry City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA Sofia hold a 33.9-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while CSKA Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CSKA Sofia

Probability

59.0%

Model confidence

11.4%

CSKA Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CSKA SofiaWWLWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Derry CityLWDLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CSKA SofiaDerry City
50.0Attack50.0
66.7Defence16.7
61.1Form0.0
60.6Power26.7
1.95xG0.95
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