CSKA Sofiavs
Derry City
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 7/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA Sofia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
CSKA Sofia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Derry City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA Sofia hold a 33.9-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while CSKA Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CSKA Sofia
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
11.4%
CSKA Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60