CSKA Sofiavs
Botev Plovdiv
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 7/27/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
CSKA Sofia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Botev Plovdiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA Sofia hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the First League, while CSKA Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CSKA Sofia
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
13.7%
CSKA Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60