GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/27/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSKA Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CSKA Sofia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Botev Plovdiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and CSKA Sofia hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the First League, while CSKA Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CSKA Sofia

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

13.7%

CSKA Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CSKA SofiaDDWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Botev PlovdivDWWLW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CSKA SofiaBotev Plovdiv
55.6Attack44.4
66.7Defence55.6
77.8Form44.4
70.7Power51.1
1.47xG0.95
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