GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · 8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CSKA Sofia III are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Strumska Slava are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Strumska Slava hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Third League - Southwest, favouring a draw with 14.4% confidence, a 50% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

30.5%

Model confidence

14.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CSKA Sofia IIIDWWWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Strumska SlavaWLWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CSKA Sofia IIIStrumska Slava
16.7Attack33.3
83.3Defence100.0
33.3Form66.7
48.3Power68.0
1.19xG1.19
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