GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSKA Moscow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CSKA Moscow are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Arsenal Tula are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal Tula hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 82.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while CSKA Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CSKA Moscow

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

CSKA Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CSKA MoscowDWWLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Arsenal TulaDDLLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CSKA MoscowArsenal Tula
74.4Attack86.7
69.2Defence73.3
71.8Form86.7
71.2Power82.7
1.95xG1.25
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