GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/28/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CSKA 1948 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Spartak Trnava are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Trnava hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CSKA 1948WDDWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Spartak TrnavaDDWLD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CSKA 1948Spartak Trnava
16.7Attack0.0
75.0Defence100.0
25.0Form33.3
42.1Power48.3
1.13xG1.00
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