Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSA · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
CSE are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while CSA are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and CSA hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 67.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.1% in the Serie D, while CSA holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CSA
Probability
76.6%
Model confidence
17.1%
CSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80