GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CSE · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

CSE are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Atlético Alagoinhas are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CSE hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 25.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Serie D, while CSE holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CSE

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

51.4%

CSE has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CSELLWDW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Atlético AlagoinhasLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CSEAtlético Alagoinhas
33.3Attack16.7
43.3Defence33.3
30.0Form16.7
38.3Power25.3
1.48xG0.72
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