CSEvs
Atlético Alagoinhas
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSE · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
CSE are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Atlético Alagoinhas are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CSE hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 25.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Serie D, while CSE holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CSE
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
CSE has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60