Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSA · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
CSA are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while CSE are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and CSA hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (67.0 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.5% in the Serie D, while CSA holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CSA
Probability
83.4%
Model confidence
17.5%
CSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20