CSAvs
Atlético Alagoinhas
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSA · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
CSA are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atlético Alagoinhas are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and CSA hold a 41.6-point power-rating edge (67.0 v 25.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.9% in the Serie D, while CSA holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CSA
Probability
89.9%
Model confidence
89.9%
CSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40