GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Primera División · 8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LD Alajuelense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

CS Herediano are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while LD Alajuelense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and LD Alajuelense hold a 42.0-point power-rating edge (32.7 v 74.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Primera División, while LD Alajuelense holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LD Alajuelense

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

13.2%

LD Alajuelense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS HeredianoLDDDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
LD AlajuelenseWWWDL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CS HeredianoLD Alajuelense
22.2Attack66.7
44.4Defence77.8
22.2Form77.8
32.7Power74.7
0.91xG1.59
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