GGOALVIO

World · CONCACAF Central American Cup · 7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CD Marathon · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CS Herediano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while CD Marathon are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and CD Marathon hold a 34.7-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, while CD Marathon holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CD Marathon

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

CD Marathon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CS HeredianoDWLDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CD MarathonDDDWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
CS HeredianoCD Marathon
0.0Attack50.0
83.3Defence100.0
16.7Form66.7
36.5Power71.2
1.14xG1.33
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