Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Cruzeiro are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Platense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cruzeiro hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Copa Presidente, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40