Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cruzeiro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cruzeiro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Botafogo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.3 against 51.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Serie A, while Cruzeiro holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cruzeiro
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Cruzeiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00