Cruz Azulvs
Chicago Fire
COMPLETEDWorld · Leagues Cup · 8/14/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cruz Azul · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cruz Azul are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 91.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Leagues Cup, while Cruz Azul holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cruz Azul
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
12.8%
Cruz Azul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60