GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 8/2/2026, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cruz Azul · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cruz Azul are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlante FC are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cruz Azul hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Liga MX, while Cruz Azul holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cruz Azul

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Cruz Azul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cruz AzulWWDWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atlante FCDLDDD

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Cruz AzulAtlante FC
77.8Attack55.6
33.3Defence44.4
66.7Form44.4
62.6Power51.1
1.96xG1.46
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