GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 7/21/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Cruz Azul U21 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Puebla U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Puebla U21 hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Liga MX U21, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cruz Azul U21DWDWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Puebla U21WDLLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cruz Azul U21Puebla U21
44.4Attack33.3
55.6Defence88.9
33.3Form55.6
48.3Power60.9
1.05xG1.04
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