Croydon Kingsvs
Sturt Lions
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia NPL · 8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Croydon Kings · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Croydon Kings are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sturt Lions are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and croydon Kings hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the South Australia NPL, favouring Croydon Kings with 7.8% confidence, a 78% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Croydon Kings
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
7.8%
Croydon Kings has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20