GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 5/23/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MetroStars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Croydon Kings are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while MetroStars are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and MetroStars hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.8% in the South Australia NPL, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MetroStars

Probability

61.8%

Model confidence

61.8%

MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Croydon KingsWLWWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MetroStarsDWDWD

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Croydon KingsMetroStars
69.7Attack80.3
37.9Defence65.2
45.5Form66.7
51.2Power67.5
1.53xG2.95
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