GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 6/26/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Croydon Kings · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Croydon Kings are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Adelaide United II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Croydon Kings hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.3% in the South Australia NPL, while Croydon Kings holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Croydon Kings

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

Croydon Kings has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Croydon KingsDWLWL

GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide United IIDDLDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Croydon KingsAdelaide United II
69.7Attack50.0
37.9Defence51.5
45.5Form43.9
51.2Power48.9
2.25xG1.74
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