Croydon Kingsvs
Adelaide Comets
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia NPL · 4/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Croydon Kings · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Croydon Kings are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Adelaide Comets are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Croydon Kings hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.0% in the South Australia NPL, while Croydon Kings holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Croydon Kings
Probability
64.0%
Model confidence
64.0%
Croydon Kings has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40