GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 3/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Croydon Kings are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Adelaide City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide City hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide City holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide City

Probability

59.8%

Model confidence

59.8%

Adelaide City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Croydon KingsWWDDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide CityWWDDW

GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Croydon KingsAdelaide City
69.7Attack66.7
37.9Defence75.8
45.5Form72.7
51.2Power71.7
1.27xG2.48
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