GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crown Legacy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Crown Legacy are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while New York City II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Crown Legacy hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (66.3 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.3% in the MLS Next Pro, while Crown Legacy holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crown Legacy

Probability

66.3%

Model confidence

66.3%

Crown Legacy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crown LegacyDDLWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
New York City IIWDWWL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Crown LegacyNew York City II
81.8Attack55.6
54.5Defence46.0
65.2Form49.2
66.3Power51.2
3.04xG1.36
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