GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/18/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crown Legacy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Crown Legacy are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Chicago Fire II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Crown Legacy hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (66.3 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.7% in the MLS Next Pro, while Crown Legacy holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crown Legacy

Probability

57.7%

Model confidence

57.7%

Crown Legacy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crown LegacyLDDLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chicago Fire IIWDDWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Crown LegacyChicago Fire II
81.8Attack68.2
54.5Defence48.5
65.2Form50.0
66.3Power55.0
2.87xG1.68
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