Crewevs
Stoke City
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stoke City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Crewe are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Stoke City are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Stoke City hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 68.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Stoke City holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stoke City
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Stoke City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20