Crewevs
Birmingham
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Crewe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Birmingham are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Birmingham hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 69.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Birmingham holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Birmingham
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Birmingham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60