Crewevs
Accrington ST
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crewe · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Crewe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Accrington ST are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Crewe hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the League Cup, while Crewe holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crewe
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
14.0%
Crewe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00