Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Creteil · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Creteil are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fleury 91 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Creteil hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Creteil holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Creteil
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
10.7%
Creteil has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20