Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cremonese · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Cremonese are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lumezzane are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cremonese hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (88.2 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cremonese holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cremonese
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Cremonese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00