Cremonesevs
Cittadella
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cremonese · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Cremonese are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cittadella are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cremonese hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (88.2 v 80.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Cremonese holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cremonese
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
10.1%
Cremonese has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40