Creckvs
Kamuzu Barracks
COMPLETEDMalawi · Super League · 5/16/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Creck are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kamuzu Barracks are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kamuzu Barracks hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (31.5 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80