Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CRB · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
CRB are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Porto BA are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and CRB hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the Copa Do Brasil, while CRB holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CRB
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
CRB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00