Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventude · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
CRB are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Juventude are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Juventude hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 60.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.9% in the Serie B, while Juventude holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Juventude
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
17.9%
Juventude has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80