GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/31/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Reading · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Crawley Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Reading are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Reading hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Reading holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Reading

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

36.3%

Reading has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crawley TownLWDDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ReadingWWLWL

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Crawley TownReading
55.6Attack50.0
50.0Defence77.8
55.6Form66.7
55.1Power65.9
1.36xG1.52
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