GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crawley Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Crawley Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Crewe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Crawley Town hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the League Two, while Crawley Town holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crawley Town

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

12.3%

Crawley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Crawley TownLWLLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CreweWDLWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Crawley TownCrewe
56.5Attack48.3
53.7Defence53.1
53.7Form50.3
55.2Power52.4
1.72xG1.21
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