Cracovia Krakowvs
Raków Częstochowa
SCHEDULEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 8/16/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cracovia Krakow · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cracovia Krakow are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Raków Częstochowa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cracovia Krakow hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Ekstraklasa, while Cracovia Krakow holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cracovia Krakow
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
13.7%
Cracovia Krakow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00