Cracovia Krakowvs
Pogon Szczecin
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pogon Szczecin · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cracovia Krakow are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pogon Szczecin are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Pogon Szczecin hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Ekstraklasa, while Pogon Szczecin holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pogon Szczecin
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Pogon Szczecin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80