Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
CRAC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Treze are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Treze hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (52.6 v 57.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40