GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

CRAC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while ABECAT Ouvidorense are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and CRAC hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (52.6 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

59.4%

Model confidence

59.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CRACDWWLD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ABECAT OuvidorenseDDLDL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
CRACABECAT Ouvidorense
23.8Attack26.7
78.6Defence70.0
47.6Form40.0
52.6Power47.9
0.47xG0.35
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