Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coventry · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Coventry are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Monaco are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Coventry hold a 34.6-point power-rating edge (83.5 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Coventry holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Coventry
Probability
67.4%
Model confidence
9.6%
Coventry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60