GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 7/25/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Costa Brava are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Rincon are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Rincon hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (46.9 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Costa BravaLWDWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo RinconLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Costa BravaDeportivo Rincon
26.3Attack33.3
71.9Defence68.4
36.8Form45.6
46.9Power51.2
0.53xG0.53
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