GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Correcaminos Uat are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tapatío are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

11.9%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Correcaminos UatWWDLL

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
TapatíoLWDLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Correcaminos UatTapatío
100.0Attack33.3
44.4Defence66.7
77.8Form44.4
75.3Power51.1
1.83xG1.17
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